Real-Time Economic Growth Intelligence
Real-time economic growth intelligence fuses high-frequency data with transparent models, delivering subscription reports, custom forecasts, and executive analyst briefings designed for decisive action; align strategies, monitor turning points, and stress-test scenarios with trusted insights delivered through dashboards, APIs, and concise leadership-ready narratives across sectors, regions, and time horizons relevant to your objectives.
About Us
We are an independent macroeconomic intelligence firm focused on translating real-time indicators into practical actions. Our team blends academic rigor, market experience, and product craftsmanship to deliver transparent models, rapid insights, and executive-ready narratives that consistently help organizations decide sooner and execute with confidence.
Nowcasting Engine for Immediate Growth Signals
Our nowcasting engine blends mixed-frequency indicators, feature selection, and expert validation to produce same-week growth estimates, surfacing inflection points before official releases and enabling faster allocation, pricing, and operational decisions across markets, supply chains, and corporate planning workflows that demand timely, defensible, and repeatable insights.
Unified Data Ingestion Pipeline
We automate secure ingestion from payments, mobility, energy use, job postings, manufacturing trackers, and sentiment sources, harmonizing disparate cadences and taxonomies into a clean, versioned layer. Adaptive normalization handles outliers, calendar effects, and structural breaks, ensuring each indicator’s signal remains stable and interpretable during volatile periods and regime shifts.
Bayesian Mixed-Frequency Modeling
Our Bayesian mixed-frequency framework combines daily and weekly indicators with monthly and quarterly benchmarks, allowing measurement error and publication lags to be coherently modeled. Shrinkage priors stabilize estimates in sparse conditions, while hierarchical structures transfer strength across sectors and regions, improving precision without sacrificing interpretability or traceability.
Backtesting, Stability, and Accuracy Metrics
We publish rolling backtests with vintage data, measuring real-time accuracy using mean absolute error, turning-point precision, and revision size. Stability screens penalize fragile signals, and diagnostic plots detail indicator contributions, variance decomposition, and sensitivity, so stakeholders can trust both headline estimates and the pathways that produce them.
Real-Time Growth Pulse Subscription
Receive weekly pulses, monthly forecasts, and dashboard access with alerts tuned to your priorities. Coverage spans key regions and sectors, with transparent revisions and indicator contributions. Designed for teams needing consistent, defensible reads on momentum to guide allocations, pricing updates, inventory planning, and investor communications.
,290/month
Custom Sector Forecast and Scenario Model
Commission a bespoke model built around your markets, integrating proprietary data, relevant high-frequency signals, and policy assumptions. Deliverables include baseline and stress scenarios, diagnostics, and implementation guidance, enabling rigorous planning and governance while preserving interpretability for cross-functional adoption and leadership review.
,290/month
Executive Analyst Briefing Series
Secure a quarterly series of tailored briefings, rapid event bulletins, and follow-up memos focused on C-suite decisions. We synthesize complex developments into concise, evidence-backed recommendations, align stakeholders on thresholds and actions, and provide materials ready for board, investor, or internal strategy communications.
,290/month
High-Frequency Indicators Coverage
We maintain a curated panel of high-frequency indicators covering household demand, labor dynamics, production activity, energy usage, transportation flows, and firm sentiment, each standardized for comparability, continuously monitored for drift, and documented with provenance to ensure reliable mapping onto real growth outcomes across diverse conditions.
Regional and Sectoral Dashboards
Interactive dashboards present growth nowcasts and forecasts by country, state, metro, and sector, with drilldowns, heatmaps, and contribution charts that clarify where momentum is accelerating or softening, enabling targeted actions, resource reallocation, and more granular risk management aligned to your operational footprint and strategic priorities.
- State and Metro Drilldowns Regional views combine local mobility, payroll, housing, small business revenue, and energy load to estimate growth at subnational levels. Custom groupings mirror your territory structure, while cohort comparisons reveal leaders and laggards, supporting territory incentives, logistics routing, and marketing mix adjustments backed by measurable regional momentum.
- Sector Heatmaps and Contributions Sector heatmaps visualize contribution to headline growth, decomposed by consumption, investment, government, and net trade where applicable. We include sector crosswinds from commodity prices, financial conditions, and policy shocks, clarifying which industries drive turning points and how exposures translate into portfolio, pricing, and production risks.
- Exposure Mapping and Sensitivity Upload your revenue or supply chain shares to map exposure against regional and sectoral growth. Sensitivity tools stress-test demand and cost shocks, producing quantified impacts on volumes and margins. Clear attribution links indicator changes to expected outcomes, aligning tactical actions with measurable risk and opportunity across business units.
Custom Forecasts and Scenario Design
We build bespoke forecast models and scenario frameworks aligned to your markets, constraints, and decisions, integrating proprietary data, policy assumptions, and operational levers to produce actionable paths with quantified uncertainties and clear narratives suitable for leadership review and cross-functional execution planning under multiple contingencies.
Executive Analyst Briefings
Senior analysts deliver timely briefings tailored to C-suite priorities, synthesizing market moves, data surprises, and scenario updates into clear takeaways, recommended actions, and supporting evidence, with follow-up materials and direct access for iterative questions that build alignment across finance, strategy, operations, and investor relations.
C-Suite Strategy Calls
We host focused calls that translate complex macro signals into implications for revenue, costs, capital, and risk. Discussions emphasize decision thresholds, timing, and trade-offs, while supplemental notes summarize recommendations, alternative paths, and monitoring triggers, enabling coordinated, time-sensitive responses across leadership teams and governance bodies.
Crisis and Event Bulletins
During market stress or policy events, we issue rapid bulletins with immediate assessment, plausible paths, and operational guidance. We quantify likely impacts and confidence intervals, update scenarios as information evolves, and provide clear communication lines so executives can act with speed, clarity, and documented rationale amid uncertainty.
Executive Workshops
Interactive sessions build shared understanding of growth drivers, scenario mechanics, and actionable levers. We facilitate exercises mapping exposures to macro pathways, define leading indicators to watch, and establish response frameworks, ensuring leadership teams internalize signals and are prepared to pivot when thresholds are met or exceeded.
Subscription Reports
Subscribers receive a cadence of concise, decision-focused publications that combine real-time indicators, forecast updates, and risk narratives, supported by charts, data tables, and executive takeaways, enabling rapid dissemination across teams while preserving methodological transparency and direct links to underlying dashboard views for deeper exploration.
Weekly Growth Pulse
A succinct weekly report highlights turning points, indicator surprises, and near-term growth implications. It flags sectors and regions exhibiting notable divergences, provides quick scenario refreshes, and offers monitor lists with expected catalysts, helping teams react early while keeping leadership aligned on the most consequential developments.
Monthly Forecast Update
Our monthly publication consolidates forecast revisions, confidence bands, and key drivers across horizons. It includes contribution and sensitivity analyses, methodological notes on model changes, and practical implications for budgeting, pricing, and procurement, ensuring stakeholders understand not only what changed, but precisely why and how to respond.
Quarterly Outlook and Playbook
A comprehensive quarterly report outlines baseline and alternative scenarios, strategic risks, and opportunity maps. We provide recommended actions by function, timelines for decision checkpoints, and indicators to monitor, giving organizations a structured, repeatable planning toolkit anchored in timely, evidence-based macroeconomic insight.
API, Alerts, and Delivery
Consume intelligence through dashboards, REST and GraphQL APIs, webhooks, email alerts, and data exports, with SLAs, versioning, and sandbox access that facilitate integration into analytics stacks, BI tools, planning systems, and automated workflows without sacrificing governance, security, or documentation quality.
Contact usReal-Time Data API
Our versioned API exposes nowcasts, forecasts, indicators, and metadata with clear schemas and latency guarantees. Pagination, rate limits, and field-level documentation enable reliable automation, while language-agnostic SDKs and examples accelerate integration into internal models, BI dashboards, and cloud data warehouses with minimal friction.
Intelligent Alerts and Webhooks
Configurable alerts watch threshold breaches, revision patterns, and scenario trigger conditions, delivering concise messages to email, Slack, Teams, or webhooks. Payloads include context and recommended next steps, so analysts can escalate appropriately or automatically rerun downstream processes and dashboards when meaningful shifts occur.
Exports and Integrations
Scheduled exports deliver CSV, Parquet, or JSON files to S3, Azure, or SFTP, with PII-free datasets and lineage tags for governance. Native connectors facilitate embedding insights in Tableau, Power BI, and Sheets, enabling self-serve exploration while preserving consistent definitions and data quality controls across teams.
Methodology and Transparency
We publish clear documentation on model design, indicator selection, backtesting, revisions, and uncertainty, so stakeholders can evaluate assumptions, replicate results, and trust the integrity of insights, balancing statistical rigor with interpretability and practical decision relevance throughout changing macro regimes.
Model Documentation Library
Detailed notes explain specifications, priors, transformations, and diagnostics, with references to academic and practitioner literature. Version histories record changes and motivations, while reproducible notebooks demonstrate data preparation, estimation, and validation steps, enabling auditability and knowledge transfer across internal analytics teams.
Revision and Vintage Policy
We maintain strict vintage controls and publish revision statistics, so users understand how headline figures evolve as new data arrives. Clear rules govern when and how models update, helping teams calibrate confidence and avoid overreacting to noise while acknowledging genuine and persistent signal changes.
Benchmarking and Consensus
Comparisons against official releases, survey consensus, and alternative datasets provide external reference points. We include error decompositions, coverage characteristics, and regime performance, highlighting when our approach leads or lags and why, so decision-makers can weigh multiple lenses consciously and constructively.
Data Quality, Security, and Compliance
Data governance protects integrity, privacy, and reliability through lineage tracking, validation checks, encryption, role-based access, and regulatory alignment, ensuring enterprise-grade standards that satisfy risk, compliance, and audit requirements without compromising timeliness or analytical richness.
Lineage, Validation, and Monitoring
Each dataset is traced from source to model output with automated validation on completeness, timeliness, and statistical drift. Alerts surface anomalies for analyst review, while immutable logs, test suites, and reproducible pipelines maintain trust in both operational stability and analytical credibility across updates.
Security by Design
Encryption in transit and at rest, strict key management, SSO, MFA, and role-based access control protect assets. Segmented environments isolate workloads, and regular penetration tests, vulnerability scans, and incident playbooks uphold resilience, aligned with enterprise best practices and third-party risk management expectations.
Regulatory and Privacy Alignment
We prioritize non-personal, aggregated indicators, apply de-identification where necessary, and adhere to applicable frameworks. Contractual terms, DPAs, and vendor assessments support compliance reviews, while documentation enables audits and due diligence without slowing deployment or diminishing the decision value of timely insights.
Use Cases and Impact
Our intelligence supports investors, corporates, and public institutions seeking early growth signals, quantified risks, and clear actions, powering portfolio tilts, inventory and pricing decisions, hiring strategies, and policy analysis that respond proactively to evolving macro conditions rather than reacting after-the-fact.
Kickoff and Integration Timeline
A dedicated manager coordinates access, data mapping, and delivery preferences. Typical onboarding completes in two to four weeks, with parallel tracks for technical integration, stakeholder alignment, and customization, minimizing time-to-value while establishing repeatable processes for updates, feedback, and roadmap collaboration.
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Training and Enablement
Hands-on sessions cover dashboard navigation, API usage, revision interpretation, and scenario application. We provide quick-start guides, recorded walkthroughs, and office hours, helping analysts and executives adopt a common vocabulary, avoid misinterpretation, and integrate insights into existing planning and governance rhythms.
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Success Metrics and Reviews
We define measurable outcomes—forecast error reductions, decision lead-time gains, inventory turns, or hit-rate improvements—and review progress quarterly. Structured retrospectives refine indicator sets, alert thresholds, and reporting cadence to sustain value creation and ensure alignment with evolving strategic priorities.
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Plans and Value Justification
We outline subscription tiers, custom engagement models, and value drivers, connecting prices to deliverables, service levels, and decision impact, so budget owners can evaluate ROI with transparent assumptions, benchmark against alternatives, and select options that match urgency, complexity, and internal capability.
Tiered Subscriptions Explained
Tiers vary by geographic coverage, sector depth, indicator breadth, and delivery options. Higher tiers include faster alerting, expanded history, dedicated analyst time, and enhanced SLA guarantees, letting organizations calibrate cost against the criticality of decisions and the scale of their operational footprint.
Custom Engagement Structure
Custom work scopes detail data onboarding, model build phases, scenario workshops, and executive briefings. We set milestones, acceptance criteria, and communication cadences upfront, ensuring predictability on timelines and outcomes while preserving flexibility to iterate as new information or strategic needs emerge.
ROI Evidence and Case References
We document impact using before-and-after decision metrics, backtests, and realized performance improvements. Case narratives show how early signals avoided costly misallocations or captured opportunities, helping stakeholders justify spend and secure alignment from finance, risk, and leadership committees with concrete, comparable evidence.
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes your real-time nowcasts reliable?
We combine high-frequency indicators with Bayesian mixed-frequency models, robust backtesting, and vintage controls. Each update includes driver attribution and revision statistics, so stakeholders can understand both the level and stability of estimates. Transparent documentation and benchmarking against official releases and consensus reinforce trust and actionable interpretation.
How quickly can we onboard and see value?
Most clients complete onboarding within two to four weeks, including access provisioning, delivery configuration, and training. Dashboards and alerts provide immediate visibility, while tailored indicators or custom models follow a defined milestone schedule. We track success metrics to ensure tangible value emerges early and compounds over time.
Which data sources power your insights?
We use aggregated, privacy-safe transaction data, mobility trends, energy load, freight and shipping metrics, job postings, firm surveys, and market-based signals. Each source undergoes validation, debiasing, and drift monitoring. We document provenance, transformations, and limitations, ensuring users understand how each indicator maps to real activity.
How are executive briefings tailored to our needs?
Before each session, we confirm priorities, exposures, and timing constraints, then craft a concise narrative with quantified implications and recommended actions. Materials include charts, scenarios, and monitoring triggers. Follow-ups address outstanding questions, enabling leadership to align quickly and communicate decisions consistently across functions and stakeholders.
What are the pricing and payment options?
Pricing reflects coverage breadth, service levels, and customization. Subscriptions are billed monthly or annually with discounts for longer commitments. Custom models and briefing series are scoped with fixed fees and clear milestones. We provide proposals detailing deliverables, SLAs, and timelines to support straightforward procurement and budgeting.
How do you handle data privacy and security?
We prioritize non-personal, aggregated data and apply strict governance: encryption in transit and at rest, role-based access, environment segmentation, and continuous monitoring. Lineage, audits, and incident playbooks support enterprise risk standards. We execute required agreements and provide documentation to satisfy compliance, legal, and vendor-management reviews.